Huge for the accuracy of long-run prediction markets.

Food $200 Data $150 Rent $800 Angel checks in friends companies $100,000 Utility $150 someone who is good at the economy please help me budget this. my family is dying

How rich is America? US chicken producers have required air conditioning for their broilers since the mid-2000s. High rate ventilation and evaporative cooling pads reduce the death rate and improve weight gain. Chickens in the US have more AC than Europeans and many others.

We’ve wanted someone to write this book for years. Naturally, @_brianpotter was our first choice! Origins is a deeply-researched study of how entire industries get cheaper over time (& why others don’t). Put slightly differently, it’s a book about how civilizations become rich.

Good piece from Noah that matches my thinking. Where are the moats?

If you’re afraid of the future in general, sure, be afraid of this. Every calorie you've ever eaten came first from plants, via photosynthesis. Not these. It’s Promethean—the exact same triglyceride molecules that make up 10% of all calories humans eat, made solely by humans. It's fats & oils purer than anything that can be extracted from a plant. Baseload calories you could reliably make on Mars. Calories that are impervious to any drought or crop failure. Calories that'd let you start reclaiming the 50% of all habitable land on earth that's devoted to food production. Calories that'd help people thrive in glistening space habitats or keep them alive underground in nuclear winter. If you fear change, definitely be afraid :)

What will I run out of first, tokens or battery life?

The Savor dream is so big. We’ll get so much land back from oil crop monocultures it’ll be like we discovered a new continent on planet earth. They’re the same triglyceride molecules we eat already, producible anywhere at very low cost. With virtually no land, no water, no fertilizer, no pesticides, no CO2. ... and of course they're still gonna be controversial when they first roll out.

Wrexham were top of the league for more than an hour, before Saints goals in the 90th and 96th minutes condemn them to defeat 😰 Welcome to the mad world of the Championship 🤯

I may worry more about post-scarcity status competition and digital ennui than Eli does. Alas the only way to get to the bottom of this is to max out TFP growth.