🚨 NEW MARKET: Nikita Bier (@nikitabier) is now live.

The idea for Believe v2 is simple: track live sentiment of every human. Sentiment markets sit between memecoins and prediction markets. They are perpetual, two-sided markets with Believe and Doubt. Participants trade on conviction about whether a person’s popularity will rise or fall. The market never resolves or settles, and the values of Believe and Doubt always sum to $1. Initially, we will deploy markets manually, focusing on individuals with the highest expected participant interest. Over time, we expect to let users create markets for any X account, enabling Believe to surface sentiment data for nearly anyone. We may also introduce fee sharing, allowing creators to earn by promoting their own market. The first market on Believe v2 features our founder, Ben Pasternak (@pasternak). Whether you love him or hate him, you can now trade for him or against him. Who should we deploy a market for next?

🚨 BREAKING — Believe v2 (beta) is now live on the App Store. Trade sentiment on any human. First active market: Ben Pasternak (@pasternak) Current belief: 62%